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Sabalenka, Aryna vs Pegula,Jessica

Sabalenka vs Pegula: Expert Analysis and Betting Predictions

General Overview

Aryna Sabalenka, known for her powerful serve and aggressive baseline play, faces Jessica Pegula in an exciting match. Both players have shown remarkable performances throughout the season. Sabalenka’s ability to dominate with her serve and Pegula’s resilience on the court make this a highly anticipated contest. With Sabalenka’s consistent form and Pegula’s knack for surprising comebacks, the match promises to be competitive.

Sabalenka, Aryna

WWWWW
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Pegula,Jessica

LWWWW
Date: 2025-09-04
Time: 23:20
(FT)
Venue: US Open Arthur Ashe
Score: 2-1

Predictions:

MarketPredictionOddResult
Under 3.5 Sets98.30%(2-1)
Over 1st Set Games61.50%(2-1) 4-6 1st Set 1.40
Under 1st Set Games59.80%(2-1) 4-6 1st Set 1.67
Tie Break in 1st Set (No)81.20%(2-1)
Tie Break in Match (No)76.60%(2-1)
Under 2.5 Sets73.20%(2-1)
Total Games 3-Way (Under 22)62.00%(2-1)
Total Games 2-Way (Under 22.5)53.60%(2-1)

Betting Predictions

Set-Based Predictions

  • Under 3.5 Sets: 98.60% – Given both players’ stamina and fighting spirit, the match is likely to extend beyond three sets, making this a safe bet.
  • Over 1st Set Games: 60.40% – Sabalenka’s aggressive playstyle suggests she might dominate the first set, leading to more games.
  • Under 1st Set Games: 55.60% – A close contest in the first set could result in fewer games, but Sabalenka’s power might tip the scales.
  • Tie Break in 1st Set (No): 82.60% – The likelihood of avoiding a tiebreak in the first set is high, considering both players’ ability to secure quick breaks.

Match-Based Predictions

  • Tie Break in Match (No): 78.50% – The probability of not reaching a tiebreak in the match is significant, reflecting both players’ capability to win sets decisively.
  • Under 2.5 Sets: 75.50% – While an extended match is possible, a conclusion in two sets is more likely given their current form.

Total Games Predictions

  • Total Games 3-Way (Under 22): 60.00% – A total of under 22 games seems plausible if both players maintain their aggressive playstyles.
  • Total Games 2-Way (Under 22.5): 51.50% – The chance of keeping the total games under 22.5 is balanced, reflecting potential quick finishes or prolonged battles.